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8/24/07 Wall Street
Journal: Affirmative Action Backfires, Easily the most startling
conclusion of his research: Mr. Sander calculated that there are fewer black
attorneys today than there would have been if law schools had practiced
color-blind admissions -- about 7.9% fewer by his reckoning. He identified the
culprit as the practice of admitting minority students to schools for which they
are inadequately prepared. In essence, they have been "matched" to the
wrong school. No one claims the findings
in Mr. Sander's study, "A Systemic Analysis of Affirmative Action in
American Law Schools," are the last word on the subject. Although so far
his work has held up to scrutiny at least as well as that of his critics, all
fair-minded scholars agree that more research is necessary before the
"mismatch thesis" can be definitively accepted or rejected. Unfortunately, fair-minded
scholars are hard to come by when the issue is affirmative action. Some of the
same people who argue Mr. Sander's data are inconclusive are now actively trying
to prevent him from conducting follow-up research that might yield definitive
answers. If racial preferences really are causing more harm than good, they
apparently don't want you -- or anyone else -- to know. Take William Kidder, a Sadly, the State Bar's
Committee of Bar Examiners caved under the pressure. The committee members
didn't formally explain their decision to deny Mr. Sander's request for this
data (in which no names would be disclosed), but the root cause is clear: Over
the last 40 years, many distinguished citizens -- university presidents, judges,
philanthropists and other leaders -- have built their reputations on their
support for race-based admissions. Ordinary citizens have found secure jobs as
part of the resulting diversity bureaucracy. If the policy is not
working, they, too, don't want anyone to know. The U.S. Commission on
Civil Rights hopes that it can persuade the State Bar to reconsider. Its
soon-to-be released report on affirmative action in law schools specifically
calls for state bar authorities to cooperate with qualified scholars studying
the mismatch issue. The recommendation is modest. The commission doesn't claim
that Mr. Sander is right or his critics wrong. It simply seeks to encourage and
facilitate important research. The Commission's deeper
purpose is to remind those who support and administer affirmative action polices
that good intentions are not enough. Consequences also matter. And conscious,
deliberately chosen ignorance is not a good-faith option. Mr. Sander's original
article noted that when elite law schools lower their academic standards in
order to admit a more racially diverse class, schools one or two tiers down feel
they must do the same. As a result, there is now a serious gap in academic
credentials between minority and non-minority law students across the pecking
order, with the average black student's academic index more than two standard
deviations below that of his average white classmate. Not surprisingly, such a
gap leads to problems. Students who attend schools where their academic
credentials are substantially below those of their fellow students tend to
perform poorly. The reason is simple: While
some students will outperform their entering academic credentials, just as some
students will underperform theirs, most students will perform in the range that
their academic credentials predict. As a result, in elite law schools, 51.6% of
black students had first-year grade point averages in the bottom 10% of their
class as opposed to only 5.6% of white students. Nearly identical performance
gaps existed at law schools at all levels. This much is uncontroversial. Supporters of race-based
admissions argue that, despite the likelihood of poor grades, minority students
are still better off accepting the benefit of a preference and graduating from a
more prestigious school. But Mr. Sander's research suggests that just the
opposite may be true -- that law students, no matter what their race, may learn
less, not more, when they enroll in schools for which they are not academically
prepared. Students who could have performed well at less competitive schools may
end up lost and demoralized. As a result, they may fail the bar. Specifically, Mr. Sander
found that when black and white students with similar academic credentials
compete against each other at the same school, they earn about the same grades.
Similarly, when black and white students with similar grades from the same tier
law school take the bar examination, they pass at about the same rate. Yet, paradoxically, black
students as a whole have dramatically lower bar passage rates than white
students with similar credentials. Something is wrong. The Sander study argued
that the most plausible explanation is that, as a result of affirmative action,
black and white students with similar credentials are not attending the same
schools. The white students are more likely to be attending a school that takes
things a little more slowly and spends more time on matters that are covered on
the bar exam. They are learning, while their minority peers are struggling at
more elite schools. Mr. Sander calculated that
if law schools were to use color-blind admissions policies, fewer black law
students would be admitted to law schools (3,182 students instead of 3,706), but
since those who were admitted would be attending schools where they have a
substantial likelihood of doing well, fewer would fail or drop out (403 vs.
670). In the end, more would pass the bar on their first try (1,859 vs. 1,567)
and more would eventually pass the bar (2,150 vs. 1,981) than under the current
system of race preferences. Obviously, these figures are just approximations,
but they are troubling nonetheless. Mr. Sander has his critics
-- some thoughtful, some just strident -- but so far none has offered a
plausible alternative explanation for the data. Of course, Mr. Sander doesn't
need to be proven 100% correct for his research to be devastating news for
affirmative-action supporters. Suppose the consequences of
race-based admissions turn out to be a wash -- neither increasing nor decreasing
the number of minority attorneys. In that case, few people would think it worth
the costs, not least among them the human costs that result from the failure of
the supposed beneficiaries to graduate and pass the bar. Under current practices,
only 45% of blacks who enter law school pass the bar on their first attempt as
opposed to over 78% of whites. Even after multiple tries, only 57% of blacks
succeed. The rest are often saddled with student debt, routinely running as high
as $160,000, not counting undergraduate debt. How great an increase in the
number of black attorneys is needed to justify these costs? The most important other
recommendation of the Civil Rights Commission is a call for transparency. As a
matter of consumer fairness, law school applicants -- regardless of race -- need
to know the statistical likelihood that someone with their academic credentials
will successfully graduate and pass the bar. Once informed, they can better
decide whether to undertake the risk of attending that particular school, or any
law school at all. If law schools are unwilling to undertake this simple reform,
it should be mandated by law. The problem is that the
admissions officer's job is to enroll students, not to draw the risks of failure
to their attention. Indeed, in some cases, the officer may be frantic to enroll
minority students in order to comply with the stringent new diversity standards
of the American Bar Association Council on Legal Education and Admissions to the
Bar. As the federal government's accrediting agency for law schools, the ABA
Council determines whether a law school will be eligible for the federal
student-loan program. The law school that fails to satisfy its diversity
requirements does so at its peril -- as a number of law school deans can amply
attest. Decades of law students
have relied upon the good faith of law school officials to tell them what they
needed to know. For the 43% of black law students who never became lawyers,
maybe that reliance was misplaced. |